<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="523" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/World-Bank-Group-staff-at-the-Zambia-Country-Private-Sector-Diagnostic-launch-in-Lusaka-on-Thursday.-Photo-Courtesty-820x523.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-567777" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/World-Bank-Group-staff-at-the-Zambia-Country-Private-Sector-Diagnostic-launch-in-Lusaka-on-Thursday.-Photo-Courtesty-820x523.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/World-Bank-Group-staff-at-the-Zambia-Country-Private-Sector-Diagnostic-launch-in-Lusaka-on-Thursday.-Photo-Courtesty-300x191.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/World-Bank-Group-staff-at-the-Zambia-Country-Private-Sector-Diagnostic-launch-in-Lusaka-on-Thursday.-Photo-Courtesty-141x90.jpg 141w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/World-Bank-Group-staff-at-the-Zambia-Country-Private-Sector-Diagnostic-launch-in-Lusaka-on-Thursday.-Photo-Courtesty-768x490.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/World-Bank-Group-staff-at-the-Zambia-Country-Private-Sector-Diagnostic-launch-in-Lusaka-on-Thursday.-Photo-Courtesty.jpg 1080w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /></figure>



Zambia is endowed with so many positive attributes. It has a strong mining industry, the right conditions for agriculture, plenty of sunshine for renewable energy, and Victoria Falls, one of the greatest natural attractions in the world. A stable political system and a young, hardworking population are helping the country recover from recent crises.



Building on these strengths with an enabling policy environment could position the country to attract critical investments from foreign and domestic sources. This will generate jobs, raise incomes and boost shared prosperity in the country.



In the new Zambia Country Private Sector Diagnostic, the World Bank Group finds that four sectors – mining, farming, renewable energy, and tourism – could attract up to $21 billion in cumulative new investments by 2030. These sectors could also create an additional 80,000 jobs as well as many more indirect livelihood opportunities in the economy.



A few well-chosen reforms will help Zambia get there. The report identified the four sectors for their potential to impact investment and boost economic growth in the context of feasible policy actions. Let’s look at each of these in turn.



In mining, attracting new investments requires a stable and predictable policy environment. Frequent changes to the mining tax regime—with 11 modifications in the past 19 years—have understandably made companies reluctant to make long term commitments in the sector.



The Ministry of Mines and Mineral Development could expand access to prospective areas through a transparent licensing system and tenure security. Two years ago, the government had to stop issuing mining licenses for eight months while it investigated corruption. When it resumed, there was a backlog of 2,000 applications.



Standardizing exploration licenses to ten years and introducing non-exclusive reconnaissance licenses to allow companies to collect geodata could unlock Zambia’s mineral resource potential.



In the renewable energy sector, Zambia is well-positioned to become a regional source of solar power. Right now, almost all the country’s energy comes from hydropower. But increasingly frequent droughts make hydropower less reliable, especially as electricity demand rises in the country.



The CPSD highlights the need for the state utility, ZESCO, to facilitate the smooth implementation of the already enacted laws enabling independent power producers to access the grid and sell power directly to customers, such as mining companies. This could unlock up to $1 billion in investments by 2030 and add up to 1,000 megawatts of installed solar capacity.



Zambia also has the potential to become a key player in regional agricultural markets. To enhance Zambia&#8217;s agricultural competitiveness, the government must rethink its market interventions. Currently, nearly 90 percent of the agriculture budget goes to the Farmer Input Support Program and the Food Reserve Agency. Reshaping these programs to fund crucial infrastructure like all-season roads and irrigation systems would improve market access, productivity, and resilience to climate shocks.



Finally, the report highlights that despite its remarkable attractions, Zambia lags behind other regional tourist destinations. In 2019, each international visitor contributed just $1,417 to the economy, compared to $3,650 in Kenya and $5,198 in Tanzania. The report emphasizes that Zambia could greatly benefit from an eco-friendly tourism industry, currently saddled with heavy regulatory costs, which could attract visitors from all over the world by making better use of its wildlife reserves and national parks.



Implementing these reforms will require sustained commitment from the government and all stakeholders, but the potential rewards—a more robust Zambian economy—will be worth the efforts. &nbsp;



Mary Porter Peschka is IFC’s Regional Director for Eastern Africa. Nathan Belete is the World Bank’s Country Director for Zambia, Malawi, Tanzania, and Zimbabwe.

World Bank Group staff at the Zambia Country Private Sector Diagnostic launch in Lusaka on Thursday. Photo Courtesty

Several Well-Targeted Reforms Could Attract Billions in Investment to Zambia

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="546" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/PRST-receiving-ABN-award-1-820x546.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-566085" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/PRST-receiving-ABN-award-1-820x546.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/PRST-receiving-ABN-award-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/PRST-receiving-ABN-award-1-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/PRST-receiving-ABN-award-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/PRST-receiving-ABN-award-1.jpg 1201w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /></figure>



Rabat, Morocco&nbsp;– In a milestone celebration of African leadership, Dr. Akinwumi Adesina&#8217;s decade-long impact on continental development has earned him the inaugural &#8220;African of the Decade&#8221; award. The&nbsp;<a rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank" href="https://u7061146.ct.sendgrid.net/ls/click?upn=u001.gqh-2BaxUzlo7XKIuSly0rC5JgF0yrrvOiGrvAGknr-2BK7BA6H-2FmR-2FxhNqLVDLRgxw5-2BSaVeHFBi7E5qvUIYDeLug-3D-3D5kOH_dsYArOl9AHTGYzUqAHd1psOtkwtArKIAQMYib4c5MlcY-2F34Uia8Z79F5z7i5KoUvuYl5poIOg3NUUU1SMGx32o70QYox4UA738Szh3SCGw3JxaYMsvEvWMks3-2BOO4hYv8mZCPc5kilzKudtUP06VQB4N2agw-2BeMtW27m2DJjcHh55OX7jTD3rDQgJ8xsd8ESqjJaboYOPk-2FfFNtBxxb49Oucmvx8xSvxS37h7LM1F8g2awPhMbvGplyFofWvD19aa-2FGUELu0XXDHZ3m2o-2BZfBZpQvh-2FanPcrZ9mm8W9w2rtrvEDw9jB5dwSmKZBacPaUm1XoLscHZW6-2FfNyHFpNKL28IlMhCZbSqeCjYM-2FjSzQQ-3D">African Development Bank Group President received this distinguished honor</a>&nbsp;at last week&#8217;s Africa Investment Forum in Rabat, marking a defining moment in the history of the All-Africa Business Leaders Awards.



The prestigious award, introduced by the ABN Group in collaboration with CNBC Africa, honors individuals who have made a lasting and profound impact on the continent. Dr. Adesina, who will conclude his 10-year tenure as head of the African Development Bank Group next year, is widely celebrated for his visionary leadership and achievements in improving the lives of millions across Africa.



ABN Group Chairman Rakesh Wahi presented the award to Dr. Adesina during the 2024 Africa Investment Forum in Rabat, Morocco. In a citation read by CNBC Africa Chief Editor Godfrey Mutizwa, the awards committee praised Adesina for his unwavering commitment to ethical and responsible leadership and his ability to drive meaningful change across Africa, particularly through the Bank’s&nbsp;<a rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank" href="https://u7061146.ct.sendgrid.net/ls/click?upn=u001.gqh-2BaxUzlo7XKIuSly0rC69uOBtMTWdeAaLbNAEGp4P4K6lRkuuIdiEO9A5BCUELsEFMjF8oK-2FHjl09T0L7VSM4-2B4zUKqXgvt2phLrschebPTUUUYhIlD36oisgGIXgugcDQD-2F6oyP6LQcTPd1OkPncRrqkMcnetooTA42jDYnE-3DYvup_dsYArOl9AHTGYzUqAHd1psOtkwtArKIAQMYib4c5MlcY-2F34Uia8Z79F5z7i5KoUvuYl5poIOg3NUUU1SMGx32o70QYox4UA738Szh3SCGw3JxaYMsvEvWMks3-2BOO4hYv8mZCPc5kilzKudtUP06VQB4N2agw-2BeMtW27m2DJjcHh55OX7jTD3rDQgJ8xsd8ESqjJaboYOPk-2FfFNtBxxb49DFRbcyiy9qoxMGgjztdi56eiVvSDVZLUFkN17dv43Ct9o6-2FyCOtTAn1ChROgaoSDoiuRMBenpWURNFDs3FG1x415acPJbHV7oG6nwe79i7GQGQZk4pbWCqo4MbPXXfYGj0yKu8ElPDl5Hrg5gBp-2FII-3D">High5 strategic priorities</a>.



“Dr. Adesina has demonstrated a significant impact on the African continent through innovative solutions, projects, or initiatives that address the continent&#8217;s pressing socio-economic and environmental challenges. He has consistently shown leadership, vision, and dedication, driving positive change in sustainable development in Africa,” Wahi said.



The awards committee highlighted Adesina’s innovative collaborations, including leading the African Development Bank in a&nbsp;<a rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank" href="https://u7061146.ct.sendgrid.net/ls/click?upn=u001.gqh-2BaxUzlo7XKIuSly0rC69uOBtMTWdeAaLbNAEGp4P4K6lRkuuIdiEO9A5BCUELSDDjIAZnBdDgmOTtRXcwgleVdIfpe3YDqrW8HDAnNn959meTkywR1tklGs7Kq8pc-2FT3bOL-2Bn67SQ-2Fv74UfpLY34bm4mNcUToeba4kxkzLeJTSkFJiARX4OkA5EUTAs4c65h1quK5OWefrOn47EqjBA-3D-3Df6Wh_dsYArOl9AHTGYzUqAHd1psOtkwtArKIAQMYib4c5MlcY-2F34Uia8Z79F5z7i5KoUvuYl5poIOg3NUUU1SMGx32o70QYox4UA738Szh3SCGw3JxaYMsvEvWMks3-2BOO4hYv8mZCPc5kilzKudtUP06VQB4N2agw-2BeMtW27m2DJjcHh55OX7jTD3rDQgJ8xsd8ESqjJaboYOPk-2FfFNtBxxb49Gin2LLYHzEJuN4ZtZLsx6Nw-2ButgvPC-2B93EIxCK7DjkxggtcWS4CgYYfAuKwk2aYUa-2FElESIlvkux8lmIIEzYhjKw6H7giBCBXj6FcwhDsmqwjD1KfKzj-2B8kXzX0CAb8uhAeJcwThRjjN8x4lEBac5U-3D">groundbreaking partnership</a>&nbsp;with the World Bank to provide electricity access to 300 million Africans.



The award also recognizes Adesina’s earlier role as Nigeria’s Agriculture Minister.



“Over ten years ago, Dr. Akinmumi Adesina&#8217;s impactful tenure as Nigeria&#8217;s Minister of Agriculture revolutionized the country&#8217;s agro-industrial value chains and transformed the lives of millions of small-holder farmers,” Wahi stated.



Under Adesina’s tenure, Nigeria ended 40 years of corruption in the fertilizer sector by developing and implementing an innovative electronic wallet system, which directly provides farmers with subsidized farm inputs at scale using their mobile phones.



Since assuming leadership of the African Development Bank in 2015, Adesina,&nbsp;<a rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank" href="https://u7061146.ct.sendgrid.net/ls/click?upn=u001.gqh-2BaxUzlo7XKIuSly0rC7CyhXvJjyYmVKjYoq0qjCaZR5EVVtI0gq-2FmXPz-2FaODfJ-2F-2Bar-2BbQvYIPtUnbTfTiMVCY4-2FmqDDV0WILK1t2g3D0TLp4zc-2B3YmdOFYMTTaZe0SwA4_dsYArOl9AHTGYzUqAHd1psOtkwtArKIAQMYib4c5MlcY-2F34Uia8Z79F5z7i5KoUvuYl5poIOg3NUUU1SMGx32o70QYox4UA738Szh3SCGw3JxaYMsvEvWMks3-2BOO4hYv8mZCPc5kilzKudtUP06VQB4N2agw-2BeMtW27m2DJjcHh55OX7jTD3rDQgJ8xsd8ESqjJaboYOPk-2FfFNtBxxb49FZnVbBT6lBIpOLbDBaafJDei0qMBQUZ6Dz-2BP53E5MS-2BROVDl4gXeAzP4oqpCwmHIdiq641ZpBONCmp0jNiUL1AIvZ9wXhsbVo3Es-2BE5HXDlbFGJDZrA24irLi9mS-2BQVxHY-2FVnY7Vj-2B8VtXW2UcGOPQ-3D">a World Food Prize laureate,</a>&nbsp;has been instrumental in attracting global investment, championed innovative development strategies, and consistently positioned Africa as a continent of immense potential and opportunity.



Accompanied by his wife Mrs Grace Yemisi Adesina, the African Development Bank president expressed his gratitude for the honor, describing the award as a testament to what is possible in the transformative power of Africa’s potential. “I dedicate this recognition to the resilient people of Africa and all those working tirelessly to advance the continent’s development,” he said.



“God did not make a mistake when he made me an African…and I will do all I can, to my final breath, for Africa,” Adesina vowed.

PRST receiving ABN award 1

African Development Bank’s Adesina Wins Inaugural ‘African of the Decade’ Award

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/John-1-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-564841" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/John-1-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/John-1-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/John-1-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/John-1-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/John-1-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/John-1-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">John Humphrey is His Majesty’s Trade Commissioner to Africa at the UK’s Department for Business and Trade</figcaption></figure>



As the world navigates uncertain times &#8211; economic turbulence, climate change, conflict and global inequality &#8211; building economic bridges between communities that foster mutual trade, investment and understanding offers a beacon of hope. The recent UK-Francophone West and Central Africa Forum (WCAF) in London, which was heavily oversubscribed, felt like such a bridge, bringing people together and highlighting the vast potential for collaboration between the UK and Francophone Africa.



The WCAF, now in its third consecutive year, has established itself as a premier platform for fostering meaningful partnerships between governments, private sectors, and civil society. This year&#8217;s forum, organised by UK Export Finance in conjunction with DMA, was attended by high-profile government dignitaries from 9 African nations. They were welcomed by the UK Minister for Africa, Lord Collins, and the UK Minister Services, Small Businesses and Exports, Gareth Thomas and senior UK government officials from various relevant departments.



The UK government&#8217;s commitment to strengthening its economic ties with Africa is clear. As an example, we announced a finance deal worth over £60 million of support from British firms to help Cameroon improve vast swathes of land for farming. These sorts of deals are setting the tone for the UK’s vision of a stronger trading relationship with Africa which promotes sustainable, mutual growth which creates jobs and prosperity and improves people’s daily lives, especially for women and for young people.



So, what&#8217;s next? As we look to the future, it&#8217;s essential to build on the momentum generated by the WCAF. This means continuing to foster meaningful partnerships, driving growth and economic development, and promoting transparency and cooperation. The next edition is planned to be in Africa, which will make the event even more accessible and relevant.



Several key areas hold significant potential for further collaboration and investment opportunities between the UK and Africa: &#8211;



&nbsp;*Agriculture*: With Africa&#8217;s vast agricultural potential, partnerships can focus on improving yields, enhancing global food security, and promoting sustainable agricultural practices.



&#8211; *Energy*: As Africa increases energy access and transitions to cleaner energy sources, collaborations can centre on developing critical energy infrastructure, promoting energy efficiency, and enhancing energy access.



&nbsp;&#8211; *Healthcare*: Partnerships can focus on improving healthcare infrastructure, enhancing access to quality healthcare services, and promoting innovative healthcare solutions.



&#8211; *Sustainability*: Collaborations can prioritize sustainable development, focusing on environmental conservation, climate change mitigation, and promoting eco-friendly practices.



The WCAF has demonstrated the power of collaboration and investment in unlocking the vast potential of UK-Africa relations. As we move forward, it&#8217;s essential to build on this momentum, fostering meaningful partnerships that drive growth, economic development, and sustainable progress.



&nbsp;By working together, we can unlock the vast potential of the African continent and create a brighter economic future for all. The UK&#8217;s commitment to strengthening ties with Africa is clear, and the WCAF serves as a great example of this commitment. As we continue this journey, it&#8217;s essential to recognise the importance of transparency, understanding, cooperation, and mutual benefit.



By prioritizing these values, we can ensure that our partnerships are equitable, sustainable, and beneficial to all parties involved. The future of UK-Africa relations holds tremendous promise, and it&#8217;s up to us to seize this opportunity. Let&#8217;s work together to unlock the vast potential of the African continent and create a brighter economic future for all.

John 1

Forging new ties in UK-Africa relations

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="667" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Ian-Williamson-1-820x667.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-561205" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Ian-Williamson-1-820x667.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Ian-Williamson-1-300x244.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Ian-Williamson-1-111x90.jpg 111w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Ian-Williamson-1-768x625.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Ian-Williamson-1-1536x1250.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/12/Ian-Williamson-1-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Iain Williamson, Group Chief Executive Officer, Old Mutual Group</figcaption></figure>



Johannesburg, 26 November 2024&nbsp;– South Africa needs more policy certainty, reform, and “gutsy” decisions from a political perspective if it is to achieve the much needed 4-5% growth required to begin elevating our economic prospects from current forecasts.



A healthier inflation prognosis and the prospect of deeper rate cuts have laid the foundations for a growth outlook nearing 1.7% next year, with foreign investors showing signs of interest for the first time since Covid-19. Ratings downgrades and the dreaded “Greylisting” kept these deep-pocketed investors on the sidelines until now, but some of the bigger players are beginning to sharpen their pencils to work out when the best time will be to jump back into the SA market. This is an opportunity that should not be missed. While SA remains on the Greylist, this is subject to reassessment in February 2025, while in a surprise move, ratings agency S&amp;P Global has raised the outlook on SA’s rating from stable to positive.



The recent Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement, meanwhile, highlighted sobering realities on the state of government revenue and the need for spending cuts and reform. A positive that has not gone unnoticed by these investors and ratings agencies is the Government of National Unity (GNU) showing signs of traction. It is imperative that if SA is to derive the benefits from the tailwinds of rate cuts, that prospective investment policy certainty and pro-business reforms follow in the wake of the recent national elections.



As it stands, South Africa is set to receive a boost from potentially further rate cuts following the two, minimal 25 basis points cuts in September and November this year, taking the repo rate to 7.75%. Further rate cuts will assist overburdened consumers further. The impact of lower inflation is already being seen in lower credit default rates.



Old Mutual, which is well on track to launch our bank next year, sees the falling interest rates as a positive for the bank. While they result in less endowment from a loan book perspective, they also lead to lower defaults on credit provision and encourage higher deposits.



While the global decline in inflation is a major milestone, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) cautions that downside risks are rising and now dominate the global outlook. These include an escalation in regional conflicts, monetary policy remaining tight for too long (SA is a clear case in point), a possible resurgence of financial market volatility with adverse effects on sovereign debt markets, a deeper growth slowdown in China, and the continued ratcheting up of protectionist policies. A weaker rand following the Trump victory in the US and its negative impact on imports like fuel will also need to be closely monitored.



However, the banking and insurance sectors in Africa are well-placed to help navigate risks and maximise opportunities, driving financial inclusion and closing existing gaps to solutions. In SA and the rest of Africa, savings rates remain too low, while the continent is also woefully under-insured in pure risk life and disability.



According to Deloitte’s 2024/25 insurance outlook report the continent’s youthful and growing population presents vast market opportunities. Insurtech will increasingly use mobile technologies to offer microinsurance products to underserved segments. It is pleasing to see Insurtech and fintech innovators like Omari make inroads in this space, where improved and affordable access to solutions like affordable digital home insurance can improve lives in emerging countries like Zimbabwe.



PWC&#8217;s insurance 2030 report notes that companies that build themselves around the customer can reach the point where insurance will finally be bought rather than sold. I think from both an insurance and banking perspective, this depends on the nature of the product – direct digital sales can work where consumers are comfortable doing things digitally and there is a fast feedback loop, such as in day-to-day transacting. However, they get extremely uncomfortable when transactions are large and more complex and need to be able to speak to someone who can guide them and give them confidence – a trusted conversation with an advisor.



Our approach is, therefore, to drive digital and AI solutions more broadly to enable efficiency and a great user experience while ensuring experienced and trusted human advisors are always available when things get more complicated, or a highly tailored solution is required.



The solution is, in fact, less about products and more about how a financial journey is supported over a lifetime. The most successful financial services businesses in the current, volatile landscape will consistently show up as quality advisory partners to help make decisions and then offer rewards for making good decisions and taking care of things that were not always seen as a high priority, like prioritising saving over spending.



However, it will be critical to future-proof businesses to keep pace.



Old Mutual, with our exciting banking launch imminent, is extremely well-placed to benefit from these trends while helping close the financial inclusion and insurance penetration gaps.

Ian Williamson 1

SA Inc needs more gutsy decisions from policymakers

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="555" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51993583140_693261c881_o-820x555.jpeg" alt="" class="wp-image-557103" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51993583140_693261c881_o-820x555.jpeg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51993583140_693261c881_o-300x203.jpeg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51993583140_693261c881_o-133x90.jpeg 133w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51993583140_693261c881_o-768x520.jpeg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51993583140_693261c881_o-1536x1039.jpeg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/51993583140_693261c881_o-scaled.jpeg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Isatu Mustapha Conteh (24 years) shows a mosquito net she received after a visit to Mawoma Health Clinic, Port Loko, Sierra Leone on 10th August 2021. Isatu is a student and is holding her only child Rachel Zainab Koroma (7 months).</figcaption></figure>



Authored by, Honourable Khumbize Kandodo Chiponda, MP, Minister of Health in Malawi  and Dr. Michael Charles Adekunle Charles, CEO RBM Partnership to End Malaria



For years, concerted efforts by African nations, backed by international donors, have made remarkable strides in reducing malaria cases and deaths, bringing us closer to the goal of a malaria-free world. However, this hard-won progress is now at a tipping point, with new threats looming and insufficient funding. Without increased commitments from key stakeholders, our fight against malaria may falter, endangering millions.



As the next Global Fund replenishment round approaches, the need for support from G7 nations has never been more urgent. Countries such as Nigeria (accounting for 31% of malaria cases), the Democratic Republic of Congo (12%), Niger (6%), and Tanzania (4%), alongside <a href="https://www.unicef.org/malawi/stories/nipping-malaria-bud">Malawi which ranks among the top 15 countries most affected countries</a>, are already severely impacted by this disease.



Currently, we face <a href="https://alma2030.org/heads-of-state-and-government/african-union-malaria-progress-reports/2023-africa-malaria-progress-report/">a funding gap of $1.5 billion</a> just to maintain essential malaria services; without this, cases and deaths will inevitably rise. An additional $5.2 billion is needed annually to make meaningful progress towards the elimination of malaria. Beyond this, the wider health sector urgently needs $11 billion to adapt to the impacts of climate change. It is crucial that we act now to prevent further escalation, especially as the full extent of its potential impact is still unknown.



The recent report from the RBM Partnership to End Malaria, in collaboration with the Malaria Atlas Project, warns of dire consequences if funding declines. If current funding levels are simply maintained, Africa could see an additional <a href="https://endmalaria.org/news/malaria-kill-300000-more-people-if-critical-funding-not-received">112 million malaria cases and up to 280,000 more deaths between 2027 and 2029</a>.This projection is the likely result based on a “perfect storm” of challenges with implementing tools, rising biological threats, and a worsening climate.



Across the continent, countries such as Malawi already face the brunt of this disease. <a href="https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240086173">According to the 2023 World Malaria report</a>, Malawi recorded an estimated 4,472,000 million cases in 2022. As we discuss scale of malaria cases, it’s clear that without substantial, predictable funding, the resurgence of malaria will disproportionately affect vulnerable groups, especially women and children, who are at the highest risk in our country. &nbsp;The toll on these groups is devasting, not just in terms of health but also through disrupted education and limitations on the caregivers’ ability to participate in the workforce. Beyond this, the broader economic impacts are severe, with malaria limiting productivity, driving up healthcare costs, and hindering growth &#8211; ultimately stalling Africa&#8217;s potential.



Over the last two decades, we have seen that great progress can be made in the fight against malaria, with sustained funding. However, the reality is that when resources dip, malaria resurges with devastating speed. Recent research findings have projected that if there is a cut to malaria funding, <a href="https://endmalaria.org/news/malaria-kill-300000-more-people-if-critical-funding-not-received">this could lead to an estimated 137.2 million additional malaria cases and up to 337,000 additional malaria deaths</a>. Ultimately, robust and predictable funding is critical not only to sustain current interventions but to incorporate innovative tools such as advanced medicines, vaccines, and vector control strategies that could finally eliminate this disease.



While G7 pledges are essential, domestic financing in malaria-endemic countries also remains a critical pillar in the fight. We are proud that African nations have been demonstrating their resolve to combat malaria through significant increases in health funding, despite economic challenges. <a href="https://alma2030.org/heads-of-state-and-government/african-union-malaria-progress-reports/2023-africa-malaria-progress-report/">Zambia and Benin have made remarkable strides, for instance, boosting their health budgets by 174% and 140%</a> respectively between 2021 and 2023. But national efforts can only go so far; 70% of malaria funding usually comes from external donors, highlighting the importance of sustained international backing to complement local efforts.



African nations today remain at the epicentre of the global malaria burden, with countries like Nigeria alone accounting for nearly half of all cases. However, the prevalence of malaria in these regions does not mean that it will always be contained. &nbsp;We can’t be complacent; if not, without immediate, decisive action, malaria could spread beyond Africa, potentially reaching new regions including Europe and spreading further in the USA.



Malaria is a solvable crisis. The progress we&#8217;ve made over the last two decades proves we have the tools and knowledge to eliminate this disease. As the Health Minister of Malawi, we urge the G7 nations to rise to this challenge. The path to a malaria-free world is clear, but only if we act now with resolve, commitment, and unity.

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Keeping up the fight – A renewed push for replenishment commitments

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="799" height="533" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/UNFSS2023_Dr-Mayaki.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-555777" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/UNFSS2023_Dr-Mayaki.jpg 799w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/UNFSS2023_Dr-Mayaki-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/UNFSS2023_Dr-Mayaki-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/UNFSS2023_Dr-Mayaki-768x512.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 799px) 100vw, 799px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Dr. Ibrahim Mayaki, Chair of the <a href="https://www.zerohungercoalition.org/en">Zero Hunger Coalition</a> and African Union Special Envoy for Food Systems</figcaption></figure>



Africa’s relationship with the world is changing.



Since the end of the second world war, the prevailing multilateral model has largely seen Africa through the prism of dependency on overseas development assistance, or “ODA” – where public funds are sent to support development for either humanitarian or politically strategic reasons.&nbsp;



It is becoming increasingly clear now that we are transitioning to a “post-ODA” world. Many historically important government donors are slashing their ODA budgets, for instance France’s <a href="https://focus2030.org/france-reneges-on-its-official-development-assistance-commitments">€742 million budget cut</a> in 2024 and plans are underway for similar levels of cuts in <a href="https://www.devex.com/news/money-matters-what-next-for-the-shrinking-german-aid-budget-108120#:~:text=Germany%20is%20planning%20to%20cut,humanitarian%20aid%20budget%20next%20year.&amp;text=Sign%20up%20to%20this%20weekly,in%20your%20inbox%20every%20Monday.">Germany </a>&nbsp;and the<a href="https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/c4gz29yn00no"> United States</a> next year.



Meanwhile, Africa is forging ahead in drafting an ambitious and broad transformation agenda. In the agriculture sector, for instance, its new Comprehensive African Agricultural Development Programme (CAADP) will set growth targets to scale up sustainable food production, agro-Industrialization, and trade while promoting inclusive and equitable livelihoods.



Why does this matter? In any era of change, it is easy for international collaboration to simply recede. But instead, we must reimagine how the relationship between Africa and the world is structured, based upon the principles of mutual self-interest and agency.



By 2100, Africa is projected to be home to <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/region-population-2100#:~:text=In%202023%2C%20Africa%20is%20home,live%20in%20Asia%20or%20Africa.">four in 10</a> people on the planet. Between now and 2030 alone, Africa’s food and agriculture economy could potentially <a href="https://www.weforum.org/stories/2024/04/unlocking-africas-1-trillion-food-economy/">more than triple</a> from $280 billion to $1 trillion in value annually. The continent is home to 65 per cent of the world’s <a href="https://www.afdb.org/fileadmin/uploads/afdb/Documents/Generic-Documents/Brochure_Feed_Africa_-En.pdf">uncultivated</a> arable land, and its young and growing work force has the potential for huge productivity gains of <a href="https://ourworldindata.org/africa-yields-problem#:~:text=The%20amount%20of%20'value%20added,half%20of%20this%20regional%20average.">as much as 50 per cent</a> if given the right skills and resources.



Take Sierra Leone’s “<a href="https://feedsalone.gov.sl/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/PRINT-FEED-SALONE-1-Y-REPORT-FINAL.pdf">Feed Salone</a>” strategy as an example. <a href="https://feedsalone.gov.sl/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/PRINT-FEED-SALONE-1-Y-REPORT-FINAL.pdf">In just one year</a>, Government-led initiatives generated over 10,000 agricultural jobs, reduced rice imports by 15 per cent, and raised cocoa exports by 20 per cent, translating directly to enhanced food security, economic growth and resilience.



The world would be short-sighted to not see the opportunity that Africa presents on the global stage in terms of both growth but also stability. As countries become stronger, they are better able to stem migration, encourage innovation and contribute to global development goals. One should remember that faced with economic stagnation, political turmoil or environmental challenges, in the past, countries like Spain, Italy, Portugal and Sweden were once, also, nations of emigration.



Despite this potential and progress to date, African nations remain at the very sharp end of global challenges. They <a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg3/">bear the brunt </a>of climate change despite accounting for the smallest share – <a href="https://cdn.cdp.net/cdp-production/cms/reports/documents/000/005/023/original/CDP_Africa_Report_2020.pdf?1583855467">less than 4 per cent</a> – of global emissions.



Southern Africa, for example, has suffered its worst drought in 40 years this past year. In Zambia, where <a href="https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/entities/publication/07d6fc7c-3271-53bf-9390-7a4e8368c9c4">70 per cent</a> of the population is employed in the agricultural sector, <a href="https://www.actionagainsthunger.org/story/climate-change-is-a-tragedy-for-farmers-in-zambia-a-successful-harvest-needs-more-than-just-seeds/">6.6 million</a> people were in urgent need of humanitarian assistance and 1.35 million faced hunger as a result.



Serving national debt in many countries has also become unwieldy as a result. In fact, the Global South paid out<a href="https://www.devex.com/news/global-south-now-repays-more-in-debt-than-it-gets-in-grants-and-loans-107490#:~:text=Development%20finance-,Global%20south%20now%20repays%20more%20in%20debt%20than%20it%20gets,receive%20in%20grants%20and%20loans."> tens of billions more </a>in debt repayments last year than they received in new lending or in development aid.



So what does a win-win outcome look like for Africa and the rest of the world? For starters, it should focus on empowering smallholder farmers – who are the true &#8220;foot-soldiers&#8221; in Africa’s development – by ensuring they have access to much-needed climate finance and to innovative, low-cost, people-driven solutions to boost their yields and resilience.



Additionally, supporting Africa’s burgeoning small and medium-sized enterprises can play a transformative role in building the continent’s agri-food economy&nbsp; – <a href="https://www.unido.org/sites/default/files/unido-publications/2024-11/Ending%20Hunger%20is%20Possible.pdf">including</a> access to technologies and finance; skills training; investment in infrastructure; and trade, both within Africa and beyond.



Brazil, in its role of President of the G20 this year, is already catalysing formidable political momentum towards this goal. Its newly launched <a href="https://www.g20.org/en/tracks/sherpa-track/hunger-and-poverty">Global Alliance on Hunger and Poverty</a> aims to catalyse funds and knowledge to accelerate this transformation.



The World Bank is seeking <a href="https://www.cgdev.org/publication/abcs-ifis-understanding-world-banks-ida21-replenishment#:~:text=What%20is%20the%20financing%20outlook,target%20figure%20of%20%24100%20billion.">over $100 billion </a>replenishment for its International Development Association (IDA), which provides concessional loans to low- and lower-middle-income countries, helping to reduce poverty. Some countries, including Spain, Latvia, Denmark, Poland, Brazil, have already committed to increasing their funding pledges to this work.



History has shown us how quickly countries can shift in their development trajectory – <a href="https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/korea/overview">Korea</a>, for example, has transformed in little over one generation from an aid-receiving to a high-income country. Africa’s turn could quite well be next, and it’s in everyone’s interests to help realise this potential.

UNFSS2023_Dr Mayaki

The global multilateral order must be reimagined to address Africa’s development challenges

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="669" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/52426176087_a1ae82ce2f_o-1-820x669.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-555774" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/52426176087_a1ae82ce2f_o-1-820x669.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/52426176087_a1ae82ce2f_o-1-300x245.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/52426176087_a1ae82ce2f_o-1-110x90.jpg 110w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/52426176087_a1ae82ce2f_o-1-768x627.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/52426176087_a1ae82ce2f_o-1-1536x1254.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/52426176087_a1ae82ce2f_o-1-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Ousmane Badiane, Executive Chairperson, <a href="https://akademiya2063.org/">AKADEMIYA2063</a></figcaption></figure>



The 2023–2024 El Niño-induced drought, regarded as one of the most powerful El Niño–Southern Oscillation events in recorded history, has resulted in widespread droughts, flooding, and other natural disasters across the globe and in <a href="https://akademiya2063.org/publications.php?type=el_nino_induced_drought">Southern Africa</a> in particular. Meanwhile, East Africa recently experienced the <a href="https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/150712/worst-drought-on-record-parches-horn-of-africa#:~:text=A%20combination%20of%20human%2Dinduced,University%20of%20California%2C%20Santa%20Barbara.">worst recorded</a> drought in the region in at least 70 years.&nbsp;



These disasters are getting worse with each passing year, exacerbating the effects of climate change on Africa, which is already affected <a href="https://unfccc.int/news/africa-climate-week-2023-charting-a-fresh-course-for-climate-action">disproportionately</a>.



Agriculture is the primary channel through which climate change disrupts African economies, but it is also the sector with the biggest potential to lead adaptation to climate change. There is a real opportunity for Africa to better leverage its own resources to devise a robust response to the climate crisis.



Trade can be a huge part of the solution. A <a href="https://www.resakss.org/node/6906">recent report</a> on trends and drivers behind Africa&#8217;s agricultural trade performance explores the intricate relationship between climate change and trade. While climate change poses a threat to trade, there are numerous opportunities for win-win solutions. Trade can serve as a robust mechanism for adapting to and mitigating the impacts of climate change, steering Africa toward its food security and sustainable development goals.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-optimization-of-scarce-water-resources-through-trade">Optimization of scarce water resources through trade</h2>



Water is a critical factor in growing crops and putting food on the table across the globe. In fact, commodities traded globally embody specific quantities of water required to produce and export them. Therefore, trading with commodities is also trading with water virtually. While water is growing scarcer across the globe, and climate change is worsening this issue, trade provides opportunities to alleviate the pressures of future water scarcity on food production.&nbsp;



<a href="https://www.resakss.org/sites/default/files/2024_aatm_individual_chapters/Chapter%203_AATM%202024.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Virtual water</a> trade — the water content embedded in traded agricultural products — can be strategically leveraged to transform food systems and bolster resilience to shocks such as droughts and floods. For instance, Africa could realign the production of &#8220;thirsty&#8221; commodities like millet, mangoes, beans, sorghum, and rice to water-rich regions, while drier nations focus on less water-intensive yet nutritionally essential foods, such as vegetables.



Complemented by investments in infrastructure, irrigation, and water management practices, trade in virtual water presents an opportunity for specialization and cooperation between water-rich and water-stressed nations to sustainably exploit Africa’s agriculture potential to transform intra-African trade and ensure the continent&#8217;s food security.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-minding-future-emission-intensity-of-african-food-trade">Minding Future Emission Intensity of African Food Trade</h2>



There is <a href="https://www.resakss.org/sites/default/files/2024_aatm_individual_chapters/Chapter%202_AATM%202024.pdf">evidence</a> to demonstrate the extent to which greenhouse gas emissions are embedded in trade flows and are likely to expand with increased trade. The key to tackling climate change and bolstering food systems is to produce smarter and trade better. There are innovations ready and waiting that can contribute to lowering the carbon footprint in the production and trading of commodities across Africa.



A key priority is to embrace artificial intelligence (AI) and remote sensing innovations for better tracking and measuring of greenhouse gas emissions. Emissions tracking in real-time and across land cover and land use with sufficient continent-wide coverage provides granular understanding of emissions dynamics required for informed decisions to support mitigation strategies and shift toward more sustainable and climate-friendly agrifood systems.&nbsp;



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-prioritizing-technology-innovations-and-infrastructure-nbsp">Prioritizing Technology Innovations and Infrastructure&nbsp;</h2>



Africa has been experiencing the <a href="https://www.resakss.org/sites/default/files/2024_aatm_individual_chapters/Chapter%202_AATM%202024.pdf">third-fastest growth</a> in agricultural exports, after the Americas and Asia, and the second-fastest growth in imports, after Asia. In years to come, the continent will have an increasingly important role in feeding the world.&nbsp;



As the continent’s agriculture sector expands, the threat of climate change must be at the forefront of our minds. There is an urgent need for governments to invest in technology innovations and infrastructure to address resource scarcity, along with investments in emissions-lowering innovations. Mainstreaming these measures into Africa’s trade policy frameworks to ensure that trade can play its role as a strategy to adapt to climate change will pay dividends – many times over – in generations to come.

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Intra-African Trade: The Secret Ingredient for Climate-Proofing the Continent’s Agrifood Systems

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="1200" height="628" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CMEP-socials-02_03.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-553828" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CMEP-socials-02_03.jpg 1200w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CMEP-socials-02_03-300x157.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CMEP-socials-02_03-820x429.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CMEP-socials-02_03-160x84.jpg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/CMEP-socials-02_03-768x402.jpg 768w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px" /></figure>



A mid-career executive program opens perspectives to market development in emerging economies



It’s a recurring problem in developing countries. Governments and local businesses lack the liquidity to finance pressing development projects and priorities. Borrowing money from distant financial hubs leaves them vulnerable to currency fluctuations.



This underscores the urgent need to develop local capital markets that connect investors to the critical needs of the economy. By doing so, these markets can reduce dependence on foreign debt and support stable growth. Yet in developing countries, capital markets often struggle to thrive, increasing the demand for knowledge sharing to advance their development.



In 2016, International Finance Corporation, the private-sector arm of the World Bank Group, partnered with the Milken Institute to create an ambitious program to transfer that knowledge by building the capacity of capital market regulators and financial professionals in middle- and lower-income countries.



The program equips participants with advanced skills, knowledge, and experience to develop effective and sustainable local capital markets in their home countries. In 2021, the English program was expanded to include francophone countries in partnership with Paris Europlace.



So far, the <a href="https://ifc.org/cmp">Capital Markets Postgraduate Program</a> has brought 270 officials from 64 developing and emerging economies to George Washington University in Washington, D.C., USA and Université Paris Dauphine-PSL in Paris, France. In August 2024, the U.S. side of the program moved to Georgetown University.



The participants undergo nine months of rigorous training on financial markets and on how they can be leveraged to address their home countries’ development needs.



Just as important as the training itself is the networking in the years that follow. Graduates return home and exchange ideas and expertise with each other and other colleagues, mentoring junior staff and sharing knowhow.



IFC recently carried out a <a href="http://wrld.bg/yTIf50TokT3">survey</a> of the program’s graduates on their professional growth and impact. It’s a diverse bunch—officials from the central banks of Madagascar, Egypt, and Botswana, regulators from Kenya, Pakistan, Uzbekistan, and the Philippines, to cite but a few examples. What joined them was a conviction that the program had helped their careers and given them useful knowledge they could share with colleagues.



At their home institutions, a striking 77% of respondents reported taking on new responsibilities, highlighting a significant shift in their roles. Nearly half said they were promoted, and 94 percent said they had gone on to mentor others with the knowledge derived from the program—a good sign that vertical knowledge-sharing has led to the horizontal variety, as the program’s designers had hoped.



The program has spread valuable knowledge across ministries of economy and finance, central banks, securities and exchange commissions, and stock exchanges throughout the emerging market economies.



Testimonies reflected these gains. After graduating in 2017, Christopher Legilisho was closely involved in helping the Nairobi Securities Exchange get approvals from the central bank to establish a derivatives market—which strengthens investors’ participation through a more efficient distribution of risk and allows domestic companies to access long-term financing.



Leah Simasiku joined a green-finance working group at Zambia’s Securities and Exchange Commission that helped design the country’s first green bond—a $200 million issuance for renewable energy. “When I have a new project, I search the network and find out which jurisdictions have done something similar,” said Simasiku, so her team can work on innovative capital markets products “without having to reinvent the wheel.”



“You always have someone to ring,” says Kenya’s Kefa Michael Ngoiri. “You can discuss something over the phone and before you know it, you’ve come up with a solution.”



The program has helped officials gauge the power of capital markets to strengthen their economies. “We have an economy that is so vast, so rich in every aspect. But we have a capital market that is yet to grow to its potential. In a country of over 200 million people, you have a listing of just 150 to 200 public companies,” said Dr. Timi Agama, a 2017 graduate who, in 2024, became Director General of <a>Nigeria’s Securities and Exchange Commission.</a>



Through the Capital Markets Postgraduate Program, education is proving to be a foundation for advancing local capital markets—one of development’s most critical and promising areas.



Click <a href="http://wrld.bg/yTIf50TokT3">here</a> to download IFC’s Capital Markets Postgraduate Program report.

CMEP-socials-02_03

Teaching Capital Markets

The World Bank and other IFIs should get serious about climate adaptation in low-income countries

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="234" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/blog-2099x600-fad-property-tax-istock-2152079686-c-vuk8691-820x234.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-553242" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/blog-2099x600-fad-property-tax-istock-2152079686-c-vuk8691-820x234.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/blog-2099x600-fad-property-tax-istock-2152079686-c-vuk8691-300x86.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/blog-2099x600-fad-property-tax-istock-2152079686-c-vuk8691-160x46.jpg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/blog-2099x600-fad-property-tax-istock-2152079686-c-vuk8691-768x220.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/blog-2099x600-fad-property-tax-istock-2152079686-c-vuk8691-1536x439.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/blog-2099x600-fad-property-tax-istock-2152079686-c-vuk8691-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Credit: vuk8691/iStock by Getty Images</figcaption></figure>



The world’s governments must raise an additional&nbsp;<a href="https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/061/2023/005/061.2023.issue-005-en.xml?cid=541463-com-dsp-crossref&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">$3 trillion</a>&nbsp;to achieve sustainable and inclusive economic growth goals this decade. The cost in emerging markets equals 4 percent of gross domestic product—and 16 percent for low-income countries.



How can countries finance such staggering price tags? Large cities such as Delhi and Lagos show a way forward: Taxing property more efficiently can play a meaningful role in raising revenue at the local level, allowing countries to invest more in their people,&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/imf-how-to-notes/Issues/2024/09/19/How-to-Design-and-Implement-Property-Tax-Reforms-555103?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">new IMF analysis</a>&nbsp;shows. Previous&nbsp;<a href="https://www.elibrary.imf.org/view/journals/006/2023/006/006.2023.issue-006-en.xml?cid=535449-com-dsp-crossref&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">IMF research</a>&nbsp;has shown that countries have ample potential to raise more domestic tax revenue if they need it—up to 5 percentage points of GDP over two decades.



Of course, the&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/09/16/political-parties-of-all-stripes-are-pushing-for-higher-government-spending?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">political challenges</a>&nbsp;of such reforms are far from trivial, as recent events in several countries suggest that raising taxes can create social unrest. More efficient real estate taxes have an advantage in this regard: by being locally collected and spent, they may be politically less challenging than increases in broad-base national taxes.



Recurrent taxes on immovable property could help local governments capture the wealth generated through construction-intensive urbanization. Generating such revenue fairly is especially important given the difficulty in developing countries of taxing income and wealth, which can be highly mobile.



The appeal of property taxes is clear when we look at revenue raised in advanced economies: more than 1 percent of GDP on average in OECD countries, and nearly 3 percent in some advanced economies. By contrast, they raise only around 0.1 percent of GDP in emerging Asia and Africa.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/11/11/how-property-taxes-can-help-low-income-countries-to-develop?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2024/11/10506443/fad-property-tax-chart-newsletter_original.png" alt="column chart showing revenues from property taxes as a percent of GDP in various groups of economies"/></a></figure>



Achieving such a large growth requires improving property-tax coverage and addressing the capacity challenges in valuing real estate as ways to reverse the current revenue underperformance. New property identification technologies and simplified valuation methods have become widely available. With policy reforms and better technology, recurrent property tax revenues in developing countries should be at least 10 times higher than current levels.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-local-revenue-and-spending">Local revenue and spending</h2>



When well designed, property taxes become a reliable and progressive form of municipal financing. They enhance the accountability of local governments, since proceeds can be used to fund better local public services, and taxes the increase in wealth of those who own real estate that has appreciated due to urbanization and associated public-infrastructure development. The tight link at the local level between revenue and spending shields property taxes from national politics and imposes higher accountability standards on local councils for the effective use of the resources.&nbsp;



National legislation should regulate how much property taxes can differ across a country, limiting divergences in the level of local public services funded by this source. Municipalities should limit exemptions to a narrow range of public organizations, and forgone revenues should be regularly reported.



The impact on “asset-rich but cash-poor” households such as pensioners can be softened by deferring taxes until the property is sold, at which point full payment is due.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-satellites-and-drones">Satellites and drones</h2>



It’s best to take a gradual approach to property-tax reform, using modern technology to broaden the coverage of area-based taxes (expressed as a fixed rate per square meter). The goal should be to transition to full value-based property taxes in coming years as countries gain experience in implementation and market price information is meticulously recorded for periodic property valuation.



Modern mapping technology, such as satellite imagery and aerial photography by drones, can be used to fast-track the expansion and coverage of property taxes to all parcels that ought to be included in the fiscal register.



Indian officials in Delhi and the greater Bangalore metropolitan area have started using satellite imagery to map properties in a geographic information system. In Africa, several municipalities have made impressive strides. Lagos&nbsp;<a href="https://www.theafricareport.com/3393/lagos-proves-africas-property-tax-potential/?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">increased</a>&nbsp;tax collection fivefold to more than $1 billion in 2011 by broadening the base of its property tax, coupled with better enforcement.



The increased precision of satellite images enables the accurate measuring of surface areas and the development of fiscal-register maps that depict buildings and their alterations. This allows the fast roll-out of an area-based property tax until valuation capacity has advanced to migrate toward a market value-based property-tax system that can raise more revenue.



Demand for capacity development from the IMF in this area indicates that many countries are seeing the benefits from this combination of the right policies and technology enablers. It makes property-tax reform effective and politically appealing, especially when its objectives are communicated properly to the public.

blog-2099×600-fad-property-tax-istock-2152079686-c-vuk8691

How Property Taxes Can Help Low-Income Countries to Develop

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="547" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2183020112-820x547.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-551750" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2183020112-820x547.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2183020112-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2183020112-135x90.jpg 135w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2183020112-768x512.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2183020112-1536x1024.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/GettyImages-2183020112-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">BAKU, AZERBAIJAN &#8211; NOVEMBER 05: People walk past a COP29 sign in front of the COP29 headquarters on November 5, 2024 in Baku, Azerbaijan. The 2024 UN Climate Change Conference (UNFCCC COP29) will be held from November 11-22 in Baku. (Photo by Aziz Karimov/Getty Images)</figcaption></figure>



A gathering of 198 leaders, representing the contracting parties of almost all the world’s nations, would be significant whatever the context and the epoch.



At this particular juncture in humankind’s history, the Conference of the Parties (COP), convening in Baku, Azerbaijan between 11-22 November for the 29th year (COP29), is encumbered with an enormous burden of responsibility. As the decision-making body of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, COP29 needs to focus the entire world’s attention on Earth’s climate crisis, and adopt urgent measures to alter course.



Last year’s <a href="https://unfccc.int/sites/default/files/resource/cma2023_L17_adv.pdf">COP28 summit struck a historic accord</a>. Nations reaffirmed the goal of capping, by the end of the century, global warming at 1.5°C compared to pre-industrial levels. They went further, agreeing to escalate their climate programs to transition away from fossil fuels, starting with tripling the capacity of renewable energies by 2030.



But not enough has changed, and a year later the situation facing COP29 has worsened. Climate scientists concur that global warming is happening much faster than previously predicted. The United Nations’ expert advisory body, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), projects that the <a>1.5°C threshold </a>will be exceeded by 2028 unless the world adopts far more decisive countermeasures. “With every increment of global warming, regional changes in mean climate and extremes become more widespread and pronounced,” <a href="https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_SYR_SPM.pdf">it reports</a>. <a></a>



Many other science-based reports paint a similar picture. The <a href="https://www.unep.org/resources/emissions-gap-report-2024">Emissions Gap Report 2024</a> published last month by the United Nations Environment Programme (UNEP), for instance, notes that holistic industrial and production policies must drive a 7.5 percent annual reduction in greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, effective immediately, to avoid breaching the 1.5°C threshold by 2030. The fact that GHG emissions are instead rising at an annual pace of 1.3 percent is further, compounding evidence that the status quo is actually accelerating us all towards an impending dystopia.



At a time when there are wars, unfolding human tragedies and deepening crises in all corners of the globe, it seems misdirected to use words such as “dystopia”, “precipice”, and “catastrophe” to describe climate impacts.



But they are apt to the describe Earth’s dire situation. Whether we are edging dangerously close to a tipping point is moot. We are experiencing and witnessing the impacts consistently, even continuously, in regions throughout the world. South-eastern America has just been devastated by not one, but two of the most intense hurricanes ever recorded. Hurricanes Helene and Milton wrought havoc; apart from the loss of hundreds of lives, the extreme storm surges and near-unprecedented rainfall and flash-flooding caused immense damage to property, infrastructure, industries and livelihoods.



Simultaneously, large parts of southern Africa are suffering from the effects of a severe drought. In respect of its exposure to the damaging consequences of climate change, sub-Saharan Africa is one of the world’s most vulnerable regions. Tens of millions of African people are disproportionately dependent on agriculture. But the ocean warming climate phenomenon has drastically shifted <a href="https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/152005/el-nino-forecast-to-contribute-to-food-insecurity">rainfall patterns</a>, causing a prolonged dry spell which compromised the growing season earlier this year. This has extended into an ongoing hotter and drier period, one which is now the worst drought in a century. Five countries – Lesotho, Malawi, Namibia, Zambia and Zimbabwe – have declared a state of drought disaster. The UN’s <a href="https://www.wfp.org/emergencies/southern-africa-drought">World Food Programme</a> reports that 27 million people in the region now face food insecurity, and 21 million children are suffering malnutrition.



The juxtaposition of deluge and drought is tragic in its manifestations and impacts in both North America and southern Africa. But structural inequities – let us call them what they are, injustices – are at play. The majority of developed nations – those that hold most of the levers of power, influence and finance – are in the Global North. Their industrialized economies have largely created the climate crisis; together, the world’s three giant economic blocs continue to generate close to 60 percent of global GHG emissions. However, it is the Global South – the term for the world’s developing countries – that experiences the severest impacts and can least afford the necessary resilience and mitigation measures.



This is why COP29’s agenda includes matters related to finance. Trillions of dollars will be required to assist developing countries’ mitigation and resilience programs, and to fund the complex mesh of climate solutions and green energy and industry transitions across the entire, interconnected world.  



And interwoven within the climate emergency is a broader point, one which extends into how – indeed, whether – the world can build upon the arc of progress made since the Enlightenment, then the Industrial Revolution, and in our own Digital Age.&nbsp;&nbsp;&nbsp;



In 2015, UN member states formulated and agreed upon 17 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) to uplift the lives of all the world’s citizens, with a targeted timeframe of 2030 to achieve these goals. With the deadline just five years away, there is a worrying underachievement: only a minority of the 17 SDGs reflect either on-track or moderate progress, and for more than a third of the goals there has been stagnation or regression.



The SDGs are not a specific COP29 agenda issue. But the links to our climate emergency are clear. Without urgently needed solutions, climate impacts jeopardize our water supplies and food production, they compromise lives and livelihoods, and threaten natural systems and biodiversity. The climate crisis propels involuntary migration, impinges upon the productivity of people and the sustainability of cities, and forces a reprioritization of governments’ spending away from critical initiatives involving gender equality, education and the creation of employment opportunities. These interrelated problems are spiraling precisely because of our continuing underinvestment in climate adaptation and resilience measures, and in real, lasting solutions. <a></a>



In its very latest, October 2024 report A Green and Just Planet, the G20 countries’ expert group estimates that $4.2 trillion is required, annually, to effectively combat climate change and achieve the SDGs by 2030.



The number seems unfathomable and unachievable. But governments can find these allocations. Global weapons spending is almost $2.5 trillion, fossil fuels subsidies total $7 trillion, and in 2000 leaders rapidly mobilized $11.7 trillion in emergency funds to combat and mitigate the Covid-19 pandemic.&nbsp; &nbsp;



A difficult truth for all of us as global citizens is that climate data and science, in its cold clarity, is often of little interest, or even unwelcome, to those who neither revel in its critical thinking nor embrace the realities – the facts – it unlocks.



COP29’s challenge lies in facing up to these hard facts. Unless the world’s leaders agree to implement urgent policy changes, and negotiate financing to systemize the trillions of dollars needed to fund holistic climate mitigation and transition initiatives, the 1.5°C limit will very soon be exceeded. This will push our planet to the very edge of habitability.



All 8.2 billion of us are imperilled.



If this isn’t reason enough, we should pause to think about all the people yet to be born. If humankind lasts as long as the typical mammalian species, <a href="https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/Toby-Newberry_How-many-lives-does-the-future-hold.pdf">100 trillion</a> people will follow us over the next 700,000 years before, possibly, we face extinction.



Our descendants would surely ask us to be careful with Mother Earth at this critical moment in time.



The author is co-facilitator of the Outcome Document of the Fourth International Conference on Financing for Development.

Upcoming COP29 In Baku Prompts Changes In City’s Transit Infrastructure

Why Should We Care About COP29? One Reason is Enough, But There Are 100 Trillion

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China as a Model Development Partner

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="563" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Rajesh-1-820x563.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550475" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Rajesh-1-820x563.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Rajesh-1-300x206.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Rajesh-1-131x90.jpg 131w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Rajesh-1-768x527.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Rajesh-1-1536x1054.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/Rajesh-1-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Rajesh Ramsundhar, Group Head: Investor Services, Transaction Banking, Corporate and Investment Banking Standard Bank</figcaption></figure>



05 November 2024: Africa’s economic potential is undeniable, but to fully realise it, the continent faces a massive need for capital. With an annual financing gap of approximately US$100 billion for infrastructure and a climate finance shortfall of US$213.4 billion through 2030, this demand is vast and urgent. On top of this, achieving the UN Sustainable Development Goals by 2030 is estimated to cost Africa US$1.3 trillion annually equivalent to 42% of the continent’s GDP. What these figures make clear is that Africa needs capital to drive transformation, development, and ultimately, economic growth.



Yet, despite these challenges, Africa&#8217;s resilience stands out. Economic projections show that real GDP growth will rise to 3.7% in 2024 and 4.3% in 2025, continuing to outperform global averages. This resilience opens new opportunities for investors and highlights the region&#8217;s potential as a source of yield, especially as global investors seek assets in emerging markets.



While growth in Africa&#8217;s insurance markets—currently valued at US$87.4 billion in 2023 and expected to grow to US$153.9 billion by 2032, according to the&nbsp;<a rel="noreferrer noopener" target="_blank" href="https://www.imarcgroup.com/africa-insurance-market#:~:text=Africa%20Insurance%20Market%20Size%3A,6.3%25%20during%202024%2D2032.">IMARC Group</a>&nbsp;— it creates pools of capital, these funds must be directed toward tangible investments. But how do we match the growing demand for capital with the need for assets that can absorb this investment?



The answer lies in the creation and availability of investable assets. Africa’s listed markets are relatively small, but as the continent develops, we expect to see more issuances from both corporates and governments, particularly in the debt markets. Additionally, as African governments look to privatise state-owned entities, the equities market will likely see large listings and corresponding growth. The growth in the listed market will not be sufficient to absorb both local and foreign capital. Africa has a significant portion of assets in the private/non-traditional markets, and there is significant scope and opportunity for both investor and owners of assets to unlock access to these markets.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-unlocking-assets-through-tokenisation">Unlocking Assets Through Tokenisation </h2>



A key opportunity to bridge this gap lies in the adoption of Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) and tokenisation. Tokenisation refers to the creation of digital tokens on a blockchain platform representing assets—whether financial (bonds, equities), tangible (real estate, commodities), or intangible (digital art, intellectual property). By digitising these assets, we can bring them to market, enabling liquidity and broadening access for both local and global investors.



Imagine the transformative potential of tokenised infrastructure investments in Africa—tradable, liquid assets that can drive development. Whether it’s property, infrastructure, or commodities, tokenisation allows these assets to be traded and settled more efficiently. Analysts predict that by 2030, between $4 trillion and $5 trillion worth of tokenised digital securities could be issued globally, underscoring the vast potential of this market.



<h2 class="wp-block-heading" id="h-the-need-for-market-harmonisation">The Need for Market Harmonisation</h2>



But it’s important to remember asset creation is only one side of the equation. For Africa’s capital markets to thrive, they need to be simple and efficient. Currently, many African markets, particularly outside of South Africa, are fragmented. They operate with disparate technologies, regulations, and frameworks, which make investing complex and costly. If we are to compete on the global stage, we need to harmonise our markets, aligning regulations and infrastructure to create a cohesive, unified system.



The question we must ask ourselves is: why do we each need to invest in separate technologies and infrastructures when we could share them? By consolidating infrastructure and adopting world-class systems, we can spread costs, create consistency, and ensure that African markets are globally competitive.



As Africa’s largest bank, Standard Bank is committed to driving this change. Whether it’s leveraging DLT to unlock private market assets or working towards common infrastructure that connects African markets, we have the expertise to support this transformation. The future of Africa’s capital markets lies in collaboration, harmonisation, and embracing new technologies that will enable us to realise our continent&#8217;s full potential.



The time is now for Africa to reimagine how we build our markets. We must work together, leverage our collective strengths, and seize the opportunities that lie ahead. Africa’s growth story is just beginning, and with the right strategies in place, we can ensure it reaches its full potential.

Rajesh 1

Transforming Africa’s Capital Markets through innovation and unity

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="550" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ceb0ac7e-4319-b4d5-fc10-f6e2fa5b8b75-820x550.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-550093" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ceb0ac7e-4319-b4d5-fc10-f6e2fa5b8b75-820x550.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ceb0ac7e-4319-b4d5-fc10-f6e2fa5b8b75-300x201.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ceb0ac7e-4319-b4d5-fc10-f6e2fa5b8b75-134x90.jpg 134w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ceb0ac7e-4319-b4d5-fc10-f6e2fa5b8b75-768x515.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/11/ceb0ac7e-4319-b4d5-fc10-f6e2fa5b8b75.jpg 1500w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /></figure>



South Africa’s competition landscape is under intense scrutiny following the Competition Tribunal’s recent decision to block Vodacom’s R14 billion acquisition of a co-controlling stake in Vumatel parent Maziv — even after the merging parties agreed to a range of additional conditions sought by the competition authorities. The decision has shocked the telecommunications sector, threatens a R10 billion investment into fibre networks in underserviced parts of South Africa, and risks halting broader industry consolidation.



South Africa&#8217;s competition policy is a necessary focal point of economic and political discourse, particularly in the context of its ability to foster fair competition while also promoting social equity. It is worth examining a few of this policy’s good, bad and the ugly elements, and considering areas where it could be more effective.



First the good: Our competition policy’s commitment to inclusive growth is commendable. The integration of public interest considerations into merger assessments marked a shift from traditional competition law focused solely on economic efficiency. For instance, high-profile mergers such as Walmart&#8217;s acquisition of Massmart and AB InBev&#8217;s takeover of SABMiller included conditions that mandated support for local businesses and job protection. While imperfect, these demonstrated the policy&#8217;s potential to drive economic transformation by ensuring large corporations positively contribute to the communities in which they operate.



South Africa also benefits from an established and still-strong regulatory framework through independent bodies, notably the Competition Tribunal’s oversight of the Competition Commission. There has also been prosecutorial success against anti-competitive practices in sectors such as construction and food. The penalties imposed for price-fixing practices during the Covid-19 pandemic indicated a willingness to maintain market integrity.



Moving to the bad: The effectiveness of our competition policy is, however, undermined by several factors. By integrating public interest considerations into competition assessments of mergers and acquisitions, the policy creates an unduly complex regulatory environment.



This deters foreign investment. Merger and acquisition evaluations, based on their social impact, can result in investors viewing the regulatory risks as too high, while adding public interest elements increases costs, which erodes South Africa’s ability to attract investment. In the Walmart-Massmart case, for example, among the conditions the Competition Commission attached to Walmart’s acquisition of Massmart, was a commitment not to retrench for a several years — this added a layer of uncertainty, risk and cost for the merging parties that was difficult to predict in a dynamic retail market.



There is also growing criticism about the efficacy of the competition policy’s enforcement mechanisms in the face of anti-competitive practices. While there have been some prosecutorial successes, the current framework may not be sufficient to address emerging challenges.



Finally, the ugly: The historic instances where public interest criteria were misapplied is undoubtedly one of the least attractive aspects of our country’s competition policy. The public interest grounds outlined in Section 12A(3) require consideration of, in summary: the effect the merger will have on an industrial sector or region; employment; the ability of SMEs or businesses owned by historically disadvantaged individuals (HDIs) to enter, participate in or expand within the market; the ability of national industries to compete in international markets; and the promotion of a greater spread of ownership.



However, our research shows that “the ability of national industries to compete in international markets” has hardly featured in merger decisions. This element is vital to ensuring South Africa’s export competitiveness.



Further, the reliance on “the promotion of a greater spread of ownership, in particular to increase the levels of ownership by historically disadvantaged persons and workers within that market” — can be seen as misguided. While it is understandable that the interests of HDIs be considered, direct legislation such as the Broad-based Black Economic Empowerment Act should drive transformation. Using competition regulation in this way even risks flying against the objectives of other direct legislation.



One of the most egregious examples of the Competition Commission failing to balance public interest considerations was in its initial blocking of the Burger King transaction. Burger King was to be sold by Grand Parade Investments (GPI) — a majority black-owned company — to a foreign private equity firm. In its public statements on the matter, the Commission made no reference to public interest considerations related to employment, or the ability of SMEs or HDI-owned firms to effectively enter, participate in or expand within the market. However, if HDI-owned firms are prevented from exiting their investments, they cannot free up capital for other investment opportunities — effectively preventing them from competing or creating value for their investors.



Black investors in GPI, almost 100% of whom supported the transaction, were directly and negatively affected by the decision. GPI had its competitiveness damaged as a black-owned company and the precedent damaged the competitiveness of HDI-owned investment firms in general. The Commission lost sight the fact that HDIs must be allowed to realise value by exiting investments when they see fit, as well as invest in alternative assets, thereby increasing black ownership elsewhere. Ultimately, the then Minster of the Department of Trade and Industry, Ebrahim Patel, and the parties came to an out-of-court arrangement, which included imposing an employee share ownership trust. But the damage was done – the arbitrariness of how public interest considerations were applied was clear for all to see.



In the Vodacom-Maziv case, the Competition Tribunal has yet to release its reasons for blocking the deal. However, they are largely expected to relate to concerns about market concentration. But not all market concentration is created equally. In certain sectors, notably renewable energy and telecommunications, concentrated players are better positioned to invest in the infrastructure necessary for growth and inclusion. They can achieve the economies of scale needed for lower prices and more efficient operations. In this case, having larger players is not anti-competitive — it stimulates a more competitive economy overall.



The arbitrariness of how public interest considerations are applied appears to be particularly glaring in the Vodacom-Maziv case. The merging parties had committed to investing at least R10 billion and passing at least one million homes in lower-income areas over five years, providing high-speed internet to over 600 adjacent schools and police stations at no cost, creating up to 10 000 new jobs, and establishing a R300 million enterprise and supplier development fund to prioritise SME development. These proposals die with the deal the Tribunal blocked. The cost of this regulatory overreach will be paid disproportionally by South Africa’s poor.



It is worth noting how South Africa’s competition policy differs from other developing markets. The focus on integrating public interest factors and black economic empowerment (BEE) into competition regulation contrasts with many developing countries’ priority to attract foreign direct investment — with less stringent regulatory oversight on foreign acquisitions — and stimulate efficient, competitive markets.



Competition regulation needs to go back to its core objective: fostering competition. Ensuring that consumers have access to choice and are free to exercise their choice leads to clear public benefits. The economy becomes more competitive, every point of supply chains becomes cheaper, consumers are better off and South African final products are more competitive in international markets.



There needs to be a rational and transparent approach to applying competition policy to create a predictable environment and reduce risk for those businesses operating in South Africa in those considering transactions. This would maximise public interest.



Competition policy and our competition authorities play a vital role in South Africa’s economy. These should not be repurposed for other objectives, no matter the merit of those objectives themselves. There should be coherence across government, with different ministries directly regulating the issues within their competencies, rather than using competition law to regulate indirectly.



It is essential that our regulators maintain their focus on fostering genuine competition and stimulating meaningful economic growth. This will provide a bedrock for a more equitable South Africa.

ceb0ac7e-4319-b4d5-fc10-f6e2fa5b8b75

The good, the bad and the ugly: South Africa’s competition policy

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="234" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600res-1as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivotcimf-photomonacoshots-820x234.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-545499" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600res-1as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivotcimf-photomonacoshots-820x234.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600res-1as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivotcimf-photomonacoshots-300x86.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600res-1as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivotcimf-photomonacoshots-160x46.jpg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600res-1as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivotcimf-photomonacoshots-768x220.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600res-1as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivotcimf-photomonacoshots-1536x439.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600res-1as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivotcimf-photomonacoshots-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Credit: IMF Photo/Monacoshots</figcaption></figure>



Let’s start with the good news: it looks like the global battle against inflation has largely been won, even if price pressures persist in some countries. After peaking at 9.4 percent year-on-year in the third quarter of 2022, we now project headline inflation will fall to 3.5 percent by the end of next year, slightly below the average during the two decades before the pandemic. In most countries, inflation is now hovering close to central bank targets, paving the way for monetary easing across major central banks.



The global economy remained unusually resilient throughout the disinflationary process. Growth is projected to hold steady at 3.2 percent in 2024 and 2025, but some low-income and developing economies have seen sizable downside growth revisions, often tied to intensifying conflicts.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/22/as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivot?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2024/10/10386072/weo-chart-1_original.png" alt="chart showing deviations of year-over-year inflation from their targets for 61 economies"/></a></figure>



In advanced economies, growth in the United States is strong, at 2.8 percent this year, but will revert toward its potential in 2025. For advanced European economies, a modest growth rebound is expected next year, with output approaching potential. The growth outlook is very stable in emerging markets and developing economies, around 4.2 percent this year and next, with continued robust performance from emerging Asia.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/22/as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivot?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2024/10/10386067/weo-chart-2_original.png" alt="chart showing real GDP growth in 2024 for US, China, LIDCs, and other advanced and emerging economies"/></a></figure>



The decline in inflation without a global recession is a major achievement. As&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/16/global-inflationary-episode-offers-lessons-for-monetary-policy?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">Chapter 2</a>&nbsp;of our report argues, the surge and subsequent decline in inflation reflects a unique combination of shocks: broad supply disruptions coupled with strong demand pressures in the wake of the pandemic, followed by sharp spikes in commodity prices caused by the war in Ukraine.



These shocks led to an upward shift and a steepening of the relationship between activity and inflation, the Phillips curve. As supply disruptions eased and tight monetary policy started to constrain demand, normalization in labor markets allowed inflation to decline rapidly without a major slowdown in activity.



Clearly, much of the disinflation can be attributed to the unwinding of the shocks themselves, together with improvements in labor supply, often linked to increased immigration. But monetary policy played a decisive role by keeping inflation expectations anchored, avoiding deleterious wage-price spirals, and a repeat of the disastrous inflation experience of the 1970s.



Despite the good news on inflation, downside risks are increasing and now dominate the outlook. An escalation in regional conflicts, especially in the Middle East, could pose serious risks for commodity markets. Shifts toward undesirable trade and industrial policies can significantly lower output relative to our baseline forecast. Monetary policy could remain too tight for too long, and global financial conditions could tighten abruptly.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/22/as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivot?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2024/10/10386078/weo-chart-3_original.png" alt="chart showing downside risks to world GDP as a deviation from baseline"/></a></figure>



The return of inflation near central bank targets paves the way for a policy triple pivot. This would provide much-needed macroeconomic breathing room, at a time where risks and challenges remain elevated.



The first pivot—on monetary policy—is under way already. Since June, major central banks in advanced economies have started to cut policy rates, moving toward a neutral stance. This will support activity at a time when many advanced economies’ labor markets are showing signs of cooling, with rising unemployment rates. So far, however, the rise in unemployment has been gradual and does not point to an imminent slowdown.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/22/as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivot?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2024/10/10386076/weo-chart-4_original.png" alt="chart showing percent point deviation of unemployment rate from trough with marked recessions"/></a></figure>



Lower interest rates in major economies will ease the pressure on emerging market economies, with their currencies strengthening against the US dollar and financial conditions improving. This will help reduce imported inflation, allowing these countries to pursue their own disinflation path more easily.



However, vigilance remains key. Inflation in services remains too elevated, almost double pre-pandemic levels. A few emerging market economies are facing a resurgence of inflationary pressures and have started to raise policy rates again.



Furthermore, we have now entered a world dominated by supply disruptions—from climate, health, and geopolitical tensions. It is always harder for monetary policy to contain inflation when faced with such shocks, which simultaneously increase prices and reduce output.



Finally, while inflation expectations remained well-anchored this time, it may be harder next time, as workers and firms will be more vigilant about protecting pay and profits.



The second pivot is on fiscal policy. Fiscal space is a cornerstone of macroeconomic and financial stability. After years of loose fiscal policy in many countries, it is now time to stabilize debt dynamics and rebuild much-needed fiscal buffers.



While the decline in policy rates provides some fiscal relief by lowering funding costs, this will not be sufficient, especially as long-term real interest rates remain far above pre-pandemic levels. In many countries, primary balances (the difference between fiscal revenues and public spending net of debt service) need to improve.



For some, including the United States and China, current fiscal plans do not stabilize&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/15/global-public-debt-is-probably-worse-than-it-looks?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">debt dynamics</a>. In many others, while early fiscal plans showed promise after the pandemic and cost-of-living crises, there are increasing signs of slippage.



The path is narrow: delaying consolidation increases the risk of disorderly market-imposed adjustments, while an excessively abrupt turn toward fiscal tightening could be self-defeating and hurt economic activity.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/22/as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivot?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2024/10/10386052/weo-chart-5_original.png" alt="chart showing annual output loss of squeezing five-year consolidation into two years in advanced vs emerging economies"/></a></figure>



Success requires implementing a sustained and credible multi-year adjustments without delay, where consolidation is necessary. The more credible and disciplined the fiscal adjustment, the more monetary policy can play a supporting role by easing policy rates while keeping inflation in check. But the willingness or ability to deliver disciplined and credible fiscal adjustments have been lacking.



The third pivot—and the hardest—is toward growth-enhancing reforms. Much more needs to be done to improve growth prospects and lift productivity, as this is the only way we can address the many challenges we face: rebuilding fiscal buffers; coping with aging and shrinking populations in many parts of the world; tackling the climate transition; increasing resilience, and improving the lives of the most vulnerable, within and across countries.



Unfortunately, growth prospects for five years from now remain lackluster, at 3.1 percent, the lowest in decades. While much of this reflects China’s weaker outlook, medium-term prospects in other regions, including Latin America and the European Union, have also deteriorated.



Faced with increased external competition and structural weaknesses in manufacturing and productivity, many countries are implementing industrial and trade policy measures to protect domestic workers and industries. But external imbalances often reflect macroeconomic forces: a weakening domestic demand in China, or excessive demand in the United States. Addressing these will require&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/09/12/trade-balances-in-china-and-the-us-are-largely-driven-by-domestic-macro-forces?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">setting the macro dials appropriately</a>.



Moreover, while industrial and trade policy measures can sometimes boost investment and activity in the short run—especially when relying on debt-financed subsidies—they often lead to retaliation and fail to deliver sustained improvements in standards of living. They should be avoided when not carefully addressing well-identified market failures or narrowly defined national security concerns.



Economic growth must come instead from ambitious domestic reforms that boost technology and innovation, improve competition and resource allocation, further economic integration and stimulate productive private investment.



Yet while reforms are as urgent as ever, they often face significant social resistance. How can policymakers win the support they need for reforms to succeed?



As&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/16/support-for-economic-reforms-hinges-on-communication-engagement-and-trust?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">Chapter 3</a>&nbsp;of our report shows, information strategies can help but can only go so far. Building trust between government and citizens—a two-way process throughout the policy design—and the inclusion of proper compensation to offset potential harms, are essential features.



Building trust is an important lesson that should also resonate when thinking about ways to further improve international cooperation and bolster our multilateral efforts to address common challenges, in the year that we celebrate the 80th anniversary of the Bretton Woods institutions.



—This blog is based on the October 2024&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WEO/Issues/2024/10/22/world-economic-outlook-october-2024?cid=bl-com-AM2024-WEOEA2024002&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">World Economic Outlook</a>. For more, see blog posts on the report’s analytical chapters:&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/16/global-inflationary-episode-offers-lessons-for-monetary-policy?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">Global Inflationary Episode Offers Lessons for Monetary Policy</a>&nbsp;and&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/16/support-for-economic-reforms-hinges-on-communication-engagement-and-trust?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery">Support for Economic Reforms Hinges on Communication, Engagement, and Trust</a>.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/22/as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivot?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2024/10/10386044/5777709/weo-chart-oct-2024-all_crop.png" alt="World Economic Outlook Projections table"/></a></figure>

blog2099x600res-1as-inflation-recedes-global-economy-needs-policy-triple-pivotcimf-photomonacoshots

As Inflation Recedes, Global Economy Needs Policy Triple Pivot

<figure class="wp-block-image size-large"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="820" height="234" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600mcm-gfsr-3artificial-intelligence-can-make-markets-more-efficientclewistsepuilungistock-820x234.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-542926" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600mcm-gfsr-3artificial-intelligence-can-make-markets-more-efficientclewistsepuilungistock-820x234.jpg 820w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600mcm-gfsr-3artificial-intelligence-can-make-markets-more-efficientclewistsepuilungistock-300x86.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600mcm-gfsr-3artificial-intelligence-can-make-markets-more-efficientclewistsepuilungistock-160x46.jpg 160w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600mcm-gfsr-3artificial-intelligence-can-make-markets-more-efficientclewistsepuilungistock-768x220.jpg 768w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600mcm-gfsr-3artificial-intelligence-can-make-markets-more-efficientclewistsepuilungistock-1536x439.jpg 1536w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/blog2099x600mcm-gfsr-3artificial-intelligence-can-make-markets-more-efficientclewistsepuilungistock-scaled.jpg 2048w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 820px) 100vw, 820px" /><figcaption class="wp-element-caption">Credit: Lewis Tse Pui Lung/iStock by Getty Images</figcaption></figure>



More efficient or more volatile? The adoption of the latest iterations of artificial intelligence by financial markets can improve risk management and deepen liquidity; but it could also make markets opaque, harder to monitor, and more vulnerable to cyber-attacks and manipulation risks.



The new&nbsp;<a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/GFSR/Issues/2024/10/22/global-financial-stability-report-october-2024?cid=bl-com-AM2024-GFSREA2024002&amp;utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener">Global Financial Stability Report</a>&nbsp;looks at new market data to understand where this technology might be taking us. IMF staff conducted extensive outreach across various stakeholders—from investors to technology providers to market regulators—to show how financial institutions are harnessing advances in AI for capital market activities, and the potential impact of its adoption.



Hedge funds, investment banks, and others have been using quantitative trading strategies for decades. Automated trading algorithms have helped markets move faster and digest large trades more efficiently in major asset classes such as US equities. But they have also contributed to “flash crash” events when market prices have swung wildly in very short periods of time—such as in May 2010 when US stock prices collapsed only to rebound minutes later—and there are fears they could destabilize markets in times of severe stress and uncertainty.



Artificial intelligence, through its ability to almost instantly process large amounts of data and even text for use by traders, is poised to take these kinds of changes to another level. However, while generative AI and other recent breakthroughs are attracting attention in both the popular press and in financial markets, today they are used in only limited ways by actual investors. So, if we are only at the beginning of an AI-led transformation, where might we be headed?



Patent filings are a good way to understand this, given what is often a long lead time between filings and actual production-ready technology. Since large language models, or LLMs, started to appear in 2017, the share of AI content in patent applications related to algorithmic trading has risen from 19 percent in 2017 to over 50 percent each year since 2020, suggesting a wave of innovation is coming in this area.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/15/artificial-intelligence-can-make-markets-more-efficient-and-more-volatile?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2024/10/10339712/gfsr-chart-1_original.png" alt="chart showing exchange-traded funds annual portfolio turnover ratio"/></a></figure>



These new innovations will likely further AI&#8217;s ability to quickly rebalance investment portfolios,&nbsp;<a>which will in turn lead to higher trading volumes.&nbsp;</a>Market participants we surveyed concur that high-frequency, AI-driven trading is expected to become more prevalent, particularly in liquid asset classes like equities, government bonds, and listed derivatives. They foresee greater integration of sophisticated AI in investment and trading decisions within three to five years, although a “human in the loop” approach is expected to persist, especially for large capital allocation decisions.



Evidence of these changes is already being seen in the exchange-traded fund market. Although currently small, AI-driven ETFs show a significantly higher turnover compared to other ETFs. While a typical actively managed equity ETF turns over its holdings much less than once a year, AI-driven ETFs do so about once a month. If widespread, such strategies may in the future mean deeper, more liquid markets which are good for investors. But they could also contribute to market instability: several AI-driven ETFs saw increased turnover during the March 2020 market turmoil, suggesting the potential for increased herd-like selling during times of stress.



<figure class="wp-block-image"><a href="https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2024/10/15/artificial-intelligence-can-make-markets-more-efficient-and-more-volatile?utm_medium=email&amp;utm_source=govdelivery" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener"><img decoding="async" src="https://content.govdelivery.com/attachments/fancy_images/USIMF/2024/10/10339699/gfsr-chart-2_original.png" alt="chart showing exchange-traded funds annual portfolio turnover ratio, with AI-driven ETFs driving higher volumes"/></a></figure>



Prices may react much more quickly in an AI-driven market. Investors mentioned the release of the complex and lengthy minutes of Federal Reserve meetings as an example where AI could provide a trading signal faster than any human trader could, and this may already be happening. Since 2017 and the introduction of LLMs, the movement of US equity prices 15 seconds after the release of the Fed minutes seem to be more consistently in the direction of the longer-lasting movement seen after 15 minutes, in contrast to the apparently uncorrelated movements in the pre-LLM period.



Who will be able to take advantage of these new technologies? AI might lead to a further migration of investment to hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, and other nonbank financial intermediaries, which would make markets less transparent and harder to monitor. Nonbanks have a structural advantage in the adoption of AI. They are generally more agile and subject to fewer regulatory constraints than large commercial and investment banks, which often must deal with legacy infrastructure and may be subject to more stringent requirements, including ensuring the explainability of complex AI models.



Policy recommendations



How should regulators and supervisors prepare for this new world? In a faster reacting market where nonbanks may continue to rise in importance, various aspects of regulation and supervision in AI-related areas should be enhanced.



Financial sector authorities and trading venues should determine if they need to design new volatility response mechanisms—or modify the existing ones appropriately—to respond to “flash crash” events potentially originated in AI-driven-trading. These include margin requirements, circuit breakers, and the resilience of central counterparties.



Similarly, financial sector authorities should continue to strengthen oversight and regulation of nonbank financial intermediaries by requiring them to identify themselves and disclose AI-relevant information; as well as require financial institutions to regularly map interdependencies between data, models, and technological infrastructure supporting AI models.



A close monitoring and oversight of this rapidly changing market lays the foundation for an opportune and balanced regulatory response that may allow financial sector participants to benefit from AI while mitigating its risks.

blog2099x600mcm-gfsr-3artificial-intelligence-can-make-markets-more-efficientclewistsepuilungistock

Artificial Intelligence Can Make Markets More Efficient—and More Volatile

<figure class="wp-block-image size-full"><img loading="lazy" decoding="async" width="640" height="427" src="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Employee-working-in-warehouse.jpg" alt="" class="wp-image-542854" srcset="https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Employee-working-in-warehouse.jpg 640w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Employee-working-in-warehouse-300x200.jpg 300w, https://cms.cnbcafrica.com/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Employee-working-in-warehouse-135x90.jpg 135w" sizes="auto, (max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px" /></figure>



The answer is a place which, I believe, will prove vital to world trade and global economic growth in the next 25 years – Africa.



At the United Nations General Assembly this month I met African leaders including the President of Mozambique, Filipe Nyusi, and Nigerian Vice President Kashim Shettima, to discuss how DP World, a long-time friend of the continent with 28,000 employees, can help realize its potential.



The numbers are striking. By 2050 Nigeria will be home to 400m, according to the UN, and is projected one day to eclipse China as the world’s second most populous nation.



The Democratic Republic of Congo – where we have made a $1.2bn investment in the Port of Banana – will experience a remarkable 122% population increase to become home to 218m.



Together with its natural resources and strategic location, Africa has the potential to be one of the engines of the global economy in just a few decades’ time.



A compelling commercial case, as well as a profound moral one, can therefore be made for businesses in the rest of the world to help Africa develop its supply chains now.



That’s why, on top of the $3bn we have already invested, we are committing another $3 billion over the next five years to build new port and logistics infrastructure across the continent. The ambition behind our growing end-to-end logistics capability is nothing less than to connect Africa umbilically to world trade.



The urgency is all the greater because of the current impact of geopolitical shocks. The situation in the Red Sea, where commercial shipping is at risk, is serious and may not improve soon. Conflicts in the Middle East and Europe, too, are a personal tragedy for those affected and another grave risk.



It is therefore no surprise that the Economist Impact’s Trade in Transition 2024 report, supported by DP World, revealed that 36% of respondents had prioritized ‘friendshoring&#8217;. While such strategies can boost resilience, the World Bank notes they may also mean shipping, logistics, and regulatory costs double the prices of internationally traded goods.



Africa can be a key part of the solution.



Firstly, its population is not only rising but also young, with nearly two thirds under the age of 30. That means a growing consumer market and a steady supply of youthful workers.



Secondly, Africa’s natural wealth is well known, from an abundance of precious metals to 20% of the world’s oil and gas reserves, all of which can help to drive trade partnerships in the coming years.



Thirdly, the continent is surrounded by the sea, with 38 of its 54 countries having direct access to open waters. It is also home to key maritime trade routes, giving it the most strategic location of any continent.



But this potential will not be realized until we address Africa’s challenges in connecting with global markets. Poor roads, ports, and rail networks add an alarming 30-40% to intra-continent trade costs.



We expanded our presence last year by adding Tanzania’s Dar es Salaam port to our network. This year we secured an extension to run Mozambique’s Port of Maputo until 2058, where container capacity is projected to quadruple to 1m units a year. And we launched the Berbera Economic Zone in Somaliland, creating a world-class logistics hub to serve the broader Horn of Africa.



To maximise the transformative Africa Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) agreement, public and private stakeholders from across the continent and beyond must work together.



Partnerships like DP World’s with CDC Group, the UK’s development finance institution, are blueprints for the future. Together, we have focused on modernizing, expanding and decarbonizing ports and inland logistics across Africa including in Senegal, Egypt and Somaliland.



Further investment is key. Initiatives are underway to nurture trade corridors, with projects like the Trans-Saharan Highway, Trans-African Railway and the African Integrated High-Speed Railway Network designed to improve connectivity and ultimately expand Africa’s role in global commerce.



By unlocking its economic potential, Africa will not only address its own developmental needs but also drive economic growth for people everywhere. I am optimistic that the role it can play in world trade in the decades ahead can be a hugely consequential one.

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Opinion

Several Well-Targeted Reforms Could Attract Billions in Investment to Zambia

African Development Bank’s Adesina Wins Inaugural ‘African of the Decade’ Award

Forging new ties in UK-Africa relations

SA Inc needs more gutsy decisions from policymakers

Keeping up the fight – A renewed push for replenishment commitments

The global multilateral order must be reimagined to address Africa’s development challenges

Intra-African Trade: The Secret Ingredient for Climate-Proofing the Continent’s Agrifood Systems

Teaching Capital Markets

The World Bank and other IFIs should get serious about climate adaptation in low-income countries

How Property Taxes Can Help Low-Income Countries to Develop

Why Should We Care About COP29? One Reason is Enough, But There Are 100 Trillion

China as a Model Development Partner

Transforming Africa’s Capital Markets through innovation and unity

The good, the bad and the ugly: South Africa’s competition policy

As Inflation Recedes, Global Economy Needs Policy Triple Pivot

Artificial Intelligence Can Make Markets More Efficient—and More Volatile

Which is the only region in the world which will add more than 1bn people to its population by the middle of the century?

News Tips

Advertise With Us

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